Verification of medium-range MJO forecasts with TIGGE

evaluation of spatio-temporal accuracy of precipitation of european center for medium-range weather forecasts (ecmwf) over iran

introduction precipitation is one of the most important meteorological variables in comparison with other climatic parameters. it varies extremely over time and space. the occurrence of this climate phenomenon requires specific circumstances in environment. its accurate measurement is important to a wide range of decision makers including hydrologists, agriculturalists, industrialists and etc. ...

Postprocessing of Medium Range Hydrological Ensemble Forecasts Making Use of Reforecasts

A hydrological ensemble prediction system is running operationally at the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium (RMI) for ten catchments in the Meuse basin. It makes use of the conceptual semi-distributed hydrological model SCHEME and the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble prediction system (ENS). An ensemble of 51 discharge forecasts is generated daily. We ...

Using TIGGE Data to Diagnose Initial Perturbations and Their Growth for Tropical Cyclone Ensemble Forecasts

Ensemble initial perturbations around Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) produced by ECMWF, NCEP, and the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) ensembles are compared using The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) data, and the dynamical mechanisms of perturbation growth associated with the tropical cyclone (TC) motion are investigated for ...

Verification of clear-air turbulence forecasts

short range precipitation forecasts evaluation of wrf model over iran

iran has a complex topography and it consists of rugged, mountainous rims surrounding high interior basins. because of this condition, in some cases the nwp output has a significant error from mesoscale variations induced by the diverse topography.  iran, covering an area of about 1,648,000 km2, is located in the southwest of asia approximately between 25° and 40° n and 44° and 64° e. this is p...